In the latest exit poll for the Bihar assembly elections, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is leading by a wide margin, according to Director Manoj Kumar Singh of Matrize News Communications. His team surveyed more than 66,000 people between November 6 and 11, and the results point to the NDA winning about 147‑167 seats with roughly 48 % of the vote.
Key take‑aways
- NDA dominates: 48 % vote share, 147‑167 seats projected.
- Women voters are a decisive factor: 65 % of female respondents back the NDA, compared with only 27 % for the Mahagathbandhan (MGB).
- Men’s vote: 52 % favour the NDA, 36 % the MGB.
- Mahagathbandhan lagging: around 70‑90 seats, 37 % vote share.
- Jan Suraaj’s early buzz fades: only 5 % of voters, 0‑2 seats expected.
- Other parties: AIMIM could capture 2‑3 seats with 1 % of the vote; the remaining parties get about 9 % and 0‑5 seats.
Why the NDA is winning
Singh said the coalition’s message of good governance and jobs has clicked with voters, especially women. “The focus this time was on good governance and on providing employment,” he told . “Women have shown strong support for Nitish Kumar.” He blamed a lack of a clear narrative and Rahul Gandhi’s low visibility for the MGB’s poor performance. The MGB abandoned its earlier SIR issue and tried to focus on employment, but voters saw that change as inconsistent.
Regional strengths
The NDA is strongest in Angika (48 % support), Bhojpur (48.4 %), Magadh (48.8 %), and Mithilanchal (47.7 %). The MGB pulls ahead in Seemanchal, where it has 49.9 % of the vote.
What this means for politics in Bihar
With a projected seat advantage of more than 60 seats, the NDA appears poised to secure a comfortable majority in the 243‑seat Bihar assembly. Women voters are the main driver of this advantage, showing an overwhelming preference for Chief Minister Nitish Kumar’s party. The Mahagathbandhan’s internal inconsistencies and a weak campaign presence by Rahul Gandhi have left it far behind.
The exit poll’s margin of error is ±3 %, but the clear trend shows that the NDA’s strategy of focusing on governance, employment, and a strong women’s voter base is paying off. Those watching Bihar’s political landscape watch closely as the final results draw nearer.
Source: ianslive
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