On Nov. 11 in New Delhi, Manoj Kumar Singh, the director of Matrize News Communications, told that the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is clearly leading in the upcoming Bihar assembly elections. Singh said the coalition’s surge comes from strong support by women voters for Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, along with a focus on good governance and job creation.
“People are paying close attention to how the government runs the state and to employment opportunities,” Singh said. “Women voters, especially, are backing the NDA this time and are firmly in favour of Nitish Kumar.”
The exit poll data also shows that while the Jan Suraaj party sparked early interest, it lost momentum as its base swung back to the NDA, causing only a small drop in votes for the coalition. In contrast, the Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance) fell behind because it struggled to keep a consistent message and Rahul Gandhi’s low profile hurt the group.
“After dropping the SIR issue mid‑campaign, the Mahagathbandhan tried to talk about jobs, but it didn’t resonate. Rahul Gandhi’s minimal presence also affected the alliance,” Singh added.
The poll highlights a sharp divide among girls and women voters: 65 % back the NDA, while only 27 % support the Mahagathbandhan. Among men, the NDA keeps a lead at 52 % versus 36 % for the Mahagathbandhan. Regionally, the NDA dominates Angika (47.9 %), Bhojpur (48.4 %), Magadh (48.8 %) and Mithilanchal (47.7 %), while the Mahagathbandhan edges out Seemanchal at 49.9 %.
Matrize’s exit poll, conducted from Nov. 6‑11 across 66,087 respondents using field surveys and CATI methods, shows a margin of error of ±3 %. Results project the NDA winning between 147 and 167 seats with around 48 % of the vote. The Mahagathbandhan is expected to secure 70–90 seats with 37 % of the vote. Jan Suraaj is projected to stay at about 5 % of the vote and win scarcely 0–2 seats. AIMIM could pull in 2–3 seats with roughly 1 % of the vote, and other parties together would earn 9 % of the vote and capture 0–5 seats.
These numbers suggest Bihar voters are leaning heavily toward the NDA, driven largely by strong women support, steady governance claims and a focus on job creation—factors that seem to resonate more than the Mahagathbandhan’s mixed messaging and quieter leadership.
Source: ianslive
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