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Thursday, November 13, 2025

Ceasefire or diversion: Maoists struggle amid losses, discord and leadership vacuum

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India’s Maoists are showing signs of weakness, with two ceasefire offers from the group this year alone. From April to September, these Naxalite rebels have pushed for talks to end the violence, but security agencies are treading carefully. They’re verifying if these offers are genuine or just a trick.

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Union Home Minister Amit Shah has laid down the law: Maoists must surrender by March 2026, or face a full crackdown from security forces. “Surrender or risk your lives,” he’s essentially told them. This deadline comes amid growing pressure on the Maoist movement, also known as the Naxal insurgency in India.

Back in April, 54 organizations urged both the Maoists and the Indian government to declare a ceasefire and drop the guns. Fast forward to this week, and the Communist Party of India (Maoist) announced a temporary halt to their armed struggle. They’re calling for a one-month truce to kick off peace talks with the government.

These moves follow a wave of surrenders by Maoist members in recent months. It’s a big shift in how the group operates, but experts aren’t celebrating yet. Security officials remain skeptical, waiting to confirm every detail before responding.

Why the sudden ceasefire push? Insiders say the Maoists are deeply divided. Heavy losses from security operations have sparked infighting—some leaders want to keep fighting, while others crave peace. The latest offer came via a letter from senior Maoist leader Mallojula Venugopal, who uses aliases like Abhay, Bhupathi, and Sonu. As a key figure in the group’s politburo and central committee, his words carry weight—if the letter’s real.

But officials aren’t rushing. They suspect it could stem from internal splits or be a diversion to buy time. Right now, the Maoists are in chaos, struggling to regroup after major setbacks. The death of top leader Basavaraju in May has left them leaderless and demoralized, with no clear successor in sight.

The government isn’t against a ceasefire, but only if it’s sincere. Even then, peace talks won’t shield surrendering Maoists from the law—they’ll face justice for their actions. Recent blows have hit hard: veteran leaders are dead or captured, and new recruits often join out of fear or for money, not ideology. With funding drying up, the group’s morale is at rock bottom.

For now, the fight continues. Security forces have no orders to ease up—operations against Maoists in India are full steam ahead. Agencies are double-checking the letter’s authenticity and the group’s true intentions. If it’s legit, it signals real trouble brewing in Maoist ranks, potentially ending the long-running Naxal threat once and for all. Stay tuned as this unfolds.


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